Skip to main content
Sandbox previewPayments run on Stripe test mode. Picks and results are real but this instance is for testing. A separate production site will launch later.
AFL · MLB · NRL · NBA

Sharp picks. Real data. No guesswork.

We find the edge before the lines move. AFL, MLB, NRL and NBA — live odds, historical hit rates, and closing-line value on every pick. Only publishes when the numbers clear our threshold. Free channel to sample. VIP for the full read.

Last pick published 9h ago

18+ · Gamble responsibly · Responsible gambling help

AFL
MLB
NRL
NBA
Latest pick · AFLWaiting on pipeline

No settled picks yet for AFL

This card only shows picks whose event has finished and been graded. Check back after the next AFL card settles — or join the free Telegram channel to get pinged when one lands.

Live feed

Every pick. Every result. Lines moving now.

Pulled live from the DB — no editorial filter, no cherry-picking. Won, lost, void, pending. If it cleared our edge threshold, it's on this ticker.

  • Duncan Robinson Over 2.50 threepoint goals total over 2.50 - $2.05Won
  • Daniss Jenkins Over 2.50 assists over 2.50 - $1.95Lost
  • Max Meyer Over 4.5 strikeouts pitching over 4.5 - $1.91Void
  • ⚾ Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 hits — 4/5Lost
  • ⚾ Mickey Moniak Over 0.5 hits — 5/5Won
  • 🎯 Dillon Brooks Over 1.50 triples — 4/5Won
  • 🎯 Isaiah Joe Over 1.50 triples — 5/5Won
  • 🎯 De'Aaron Fox Over 1.50 triples — 4/5Lost
  • 🪣 De'Aaron Fox Over 16.50 points — 4/5Won

Compatible with your bookmaker. Odds shown are at time of research; place at the book of your choice.

How StatLine works

Three steps. Zero guesswork.

Every pick has been through the same process. Same inputs, same threshold — no hand-waving, no "gut feel," no selective history.

Ingest live odds & stats

Live bookmaker prices and player / team history ingested and normalised — AFL and MLB markets. Closing-line tracked on every published pick.

Find the edge

Evidence bullets, hit rates, and a publishable score against the quoted line. Only candidates with real line value make the cut — no sharp money left on the table.

Deliver to Telegram

Editor-signed analyst note with risk flag lands in free or VIP channel before the line moves. Stripe controls VIP access automatically.

Track record

Every win, loss, and void. Nothing hidden.

Live numbers straight from the DB — wins, losses, voids, pending. Win rate is settled picks only. No screenshots, no selective history.

Published0
Won0
Lost0
Void0
Pending0
Win rate · settled only0.0%25 settled so far
See every pickPilot-to-date. Past performance does not predict future results.
Today's card

Latest pick off the engine. Value window open.

Pulled live from the same pipeline that feeds the Telegram channel. This cleared our edge threshold — no filler, no vague "value" talk.

Latest pick · MLBVOID

Max Meyer Over 4.5 strikeouts pitching over 4.5 - $1.91

Happy to have a look at Max Meyer Over 4.5 strikeouts pitching at $1.91. 4/5 hit backs it up.

MarketStrikeouts
Best booksynthetic
Decimal odds1.91
First pitch22/04/26 16:11

Lines and odds move. Past research output does not predict future results.

On the desk

What our numbers look like

Representative figures from our working research set — not a forecast, not a claim. They describe the shape of what passes our internal bar, not what will win on Saturday.

0.0
disposals / quarter

Average on midfielders we tracked through Round 5 — indicative only, internal sample.

0%
hit rate, internal 2024 sample

Disposals over 15.5 lines across the runs we reviewed last season. Not indicative of future performance.

0
game minimum before we publish

Our minimum sample of recent form for a line to even be considered — no early-season over-reaches.

Coverage

What our desk covers today

We ship a sport only when the pipeline meets our internal quality bar — never because it would look good on a homepage.

AFLLive

Australian Football League

Full pipeline running. H2H, team totals, and player disposal lines under active research.

MLBLive

Major League Baseball — 2025 Season

Live pipeline. Moneyline, run line, and totals (O/U) — closing-line value tracked on every published pick.

NRLLive

National Rugby League

Live pipeline. H2H, line, and totals — same research bar as AFL before a pick is published.

NBALive

National Basketball Association

Live pipeline. Moneyline, spreads, and totals across the full NBA season.

Why StatLine

Built on the dull parts sharp bettors don't skip

Repeatable research

Same inputs, same read. No hand-waving, no "gut feel," no selective history. Our desk follows the same checklist every time — so tomorrow's note on a replay of yesterday's data would land in the same spot.

Each candidate is attached to a full evidence trail — hit rate vs the quoted line, last-N form, opponent split, sample size. Nothing about the decision is a secret.

Honest results

We log wins, losses, voids, and sample size. No cherry-picked screenshots.

Telegram-native

Picks land on your phone when they drop. VIP access is Stripe-gated, one invite link, no faff.

Pricing

One price. No markup games. No juice on the sub.

Free Telegram to see the picks before you pay. VIP when you want the full edge — closing-line value, risk flags, AFL and MLB. Cancel anytime — just email admin@statlineaus.com.

Free
$0/ forever

Public Telegram channel. Sample the picks — no card, no commitment. See the edge before you buy.

Join free channel
FAQ

The boring but important questions

Bet responsibly

Insight, not guarantees.

StatLine publishes research. Sports are uncertain; losing streaks happen to every discipline. Only bet money you can afford to lose, set deposit limits with your bookmaker, and walk away when it stops being fun.

If you need help

Value window closing. Ready to get the edge?

Start free — sample the pipeline, see the track record. Upgrade to VIP when you want every pick before the line moves.

StatLine — Stat-led sports betting research, delivered to Telegram